Home Sanibel Nieuws Over mij

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Blackstone Rushes $2.5 Billion Purchase as Homes Rise

Blackstone Group LP (BX), the largest U.S. private real estate owner, accelerated purchases of single- family homes as prices jumped faster than it expected.

Blackstone has spent more than $2.5 billion on 16,000 homes to manage as rentals, deploying capital from the $13.3 billion fund it raised last year, said Jonathan Gray, global head of real estate for the world’s largest private equity firm. That’s up from $1 billion of homes owned in October, when Blackstone Chairman Stephen Schwarzman said the company was spending $100 million a week on houses.

“The market is moving much faster than anybody thought possible,” Gray said during an interview in Blackstone’s New York headquarters. “Housing is much stronger than people anticipated.”

Blackstone is the largest investor in single-family homes to manage as rentals, acquiring properties in nine markets, from Miami to Phoenix, where prices surged 22 percent in the 12 months through October. The firm, along with Thomas Barrack’s Colony Capital LLC and Two Harbors Investment Corp. (SBY), is seeking to transform a market dominated by small investors into a new institutional asset class that JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) estimates could be worth as much as $1.5 trillion.

The market, which has been “dominated by ‘Mom and Pop’ owners” could total 12 million homes and be double the size of the institutional multifamily market, JPMorgan analysts led by Anthony Paolone, wrote in a note yesterday. “A corporate structure with institutional capital around the business makes sense.”

Racing Recovery

Blackstone, which started buying the properties last year, has been racing against the real-estate recovery as prices across the U.S. rose more than economists forecast, with the areas hardest hit by the crash rebounding the most.

The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values in 20 cities increased 4.3 percent in the 12 months through October, the biggest 12-month advance since May 2010, the group said last month in New York. Prices will gain 3.3 percent in 2013 after an estimated 4.5 percent jump last year, based on the median estimates of 15 economists and housing analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News.

Blackstone is buying in Atlanta, Chicago, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Northern and Southern California; Miami, Orlando and Tampa, Florida -- where prices fell so far that they “overshot,” said David Roth, managing director at Blackstone overseeing single-family home rentals.

‘Warehousing’ Homes

Blackstone has been purchasing through foreclosure auctions and short sales, in which banks agree to accept less than is owed on the mortgage, after more than 5 million homeowners lost their homes since the market’s peak in 2006.

It’s bought so quickly it’s “warehousing” more than half of the homes it’s acquired as it completes the purchase and hires staff and contractors to renovate and rent the properties, Gray said. It takes about 30 days to fix each home and then as much as 30 days to lease the property, he said.

“Renovating the 16,000 homes is an enormous job,” Gray said.

By comparison, D.R. Horton Inc. (DHI), the largest U.S. homebuilder by volume, sold 18,890 homes and generated $5.35 billion in revenue in fiscal 2012.

Colony Capital has bought about 5,500 homes since April, spending more than $500 million, and expects to reach $1.5 billion invested by the end of the year. Closely held Waypoint Homes said it has bought about 2,500 homes and expects to have 10,000 homes by the end of 2013.

Silver Bay

Silver Bay Realty Trust Corp., a publicly traded arm of Two Harbors, raised $245 million in an initial public offering last month. It rose 2.1 percent to $21.58 at 12:53 p.m. in New York, extending its 14 percent gain through yesterday since it started trading. The firm, led by Chief Executive Officer David Miller, a former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. executive and U.S. Treasury Department official, is the largest public real estate investment trust concentrating on single-family homes.

“We are seeing increased supply of rental homes as some of these big companies have moved into the space, but we’re still seeing a strong appetite as well,” said Colin Wiel, co-founder and managing director of Waypoint. “We always anticipated that prices were going to rise pretty quickly. They’ve risen quicker during the last 12 months than we would’ve guessed.”

Blackstone currently buys all of its homes with cash and then finances pools of houses with up to 60 percent debt. Conventional single-family home mortgages are financed with a 20-percent down payment.

Credit Line

The firm got a $600 million line of credit from Deutsche Bank AG (DBK) in October. It’s in talks with the Frankfurt-based lender to double the financing, according to two people with knowledge of the negotiations. Deutsche Bank will lead a group of banks that will contribute an additional $600 million, according to the people, who asked not to be identified because the talks are private.

Financial institutions have been slow to back single-family rental homes, because large investors have little history to demonstrate cash flows and cost of operations.

“While leverage is currently limited, potential financing options include secured credit lines, lending syndicates, high- yield debt, government sponsored enterprise-provided financing, and securitization,” Jade Rahmani, an analyst with Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Inc. in New York, wrote in a note yesterday.

Citigroup Extended

Citigroup Inc. (C) extended a $245 million line of credit to Waypoint in October, enabling the investment firm to multiply its initial $150 million in capital from GI Partners, a Menlo Park, California-based private equity fund. American Residential Properties, which has 1,500 homes in five states, received a line of credit from Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) in June 2010. The company announced plans for an initial public offering of shares as early as the first quarter of this year, depending on market conditions.

Acquisitions have been limited to one property at a time because holders of large pools of foreclosed homes haven’t conducted bulk sales. Fannie Mae, the largest holder of foreclosed houses with an inventory of 107,225 repossessed homes as of Sept. 30, plans to sell most of them one-by-one after a bulk sale of 2,500 properties last year.

“Frankly, we see that our retail execution, selling individual homes to individual buyers, as still our best execution,” Fannie Mae Chief Executive Officer Timothy Mayopoulos, said during an interview at Bloomberg’s Washington office yesterday. “So we will continue to do the vast bulk of our executions in that way.”

Fix, Sell

Blackstone’s strategy in real estate generally has been to “buy, fix and sell,” said Gray, who in 2007 engineered the largest real estate buyout ever when Blackstone acquired Sam Zell’s Equity Office Properties Trust for $39 billion including assumed debt. Gray’s real estate business brought in $1 billion in profit for the firm in 2011.

In the case of the single-family business, Blackstone will rent and manage the homes through Invitation Homes, which it founded last year with Riverstone Residential Group, an apartment management company based in Dallas.

While Blackstone ultimately will benefit from the properties’ price appreciation, in the meantime, the homes will generate revenue and cash flow, Gray said.

“We’re building a real company,” he said.

 

 

Southwest Florida real estate market attracts Canadian investors, other international clients

 

They come from Toronto, London and Dusseldorf, and they're all here for the deals.

Foreign buyers are on the hunt for real estate bargains in Southwest Florida. They scour listings from across the Atlantic and leave Canadian tundra in search of properties dotted with palms. And local real estate agents say foreign interest could help revitalize the area. International clients tend to be cash buyers who are financially stable, since many of their countries haven't weathered financial storms to the level the United States has recently.

"They're not going to be foreclosed on if they lose their job," Mark Washburn, an agent in Fort Myers, said of foreign investors. "They're a safer bet for the market as a whole than, say, someone local here who has a lot of risk in the economy right now."

As of August, approximately 112,283 Florida Realtor members closed on roughly 90,000 deals with international clients in 2010, according to a survey by the National Association of Realtors and Florida Realtors. Over the past 12 months, foreign buyers accounted for approximately 22 percent of Florida's existing home sales.

Canadian influx

Canadians dominate among international buyers in Southwest Florida - and across the state. Buyers from Canada accounted for approximately 36 percent of Florida home sales to foreigners, making them the largest sector of out-of-country buyers. Western Europeans followed at 29 percent, according to the NAR and Florida Realtors survey.

Canadian investors sought out real estate in Lee County in the 1970s, but their interest seemed to wane until about two years ago, said Gloria Tate, a real estate agent in Cape Coral, who has lived in the city for more than 50 years.

Approximately 114,765 Canada residents visited Lee County in 2009, according to the Lee County Visitor & Convention Bureau. About 104,089 people came from the United Kingdom and 180,155 people traveled here from German-speaking countries such as Germany, Austria and Switzerland, according to the VCB, which spent about $265,000 on international print and online advertising during the 2009-10 fiscal year.

A Sanibel Realtor placed an ad in a Canadian newspaper for a woman from Canada who is selling her father's Sanibel home. The seller said she recently heard public radio commentators in her native country discuss the deals in Southwest Florida.

The growing strength of Canadian currency - called the loonie - versus the American dollar has likely helped increase interest in Florida real estate. One U.S. dollar now equals about $1.03 in Canadian currency.

In addition, the more northern country hasn't experienced bank failures or a foreclosure crisis. A Toronto client told Washburn his home hadn't dropped in value over the past few years.

"He's feeling more confident about making a purchase down here because he's doing better at home," said Washburn, who recently sold a condo at High Point Place in downtown Fort Myers to a Canadian buyer for a price in the high $200,000s, a bit higher than the median purchase price of $150,000 among Canadian buyers in Florida.

Most foreign buyers, including Canadians, pay cash, but real estate agents point out to prospects the convenience of the five or so Royal Bank of Canada branches in Southwest Florida.

"The Royal Bank of Canada has made it much easier for people to purchase here," Tate said. "Most lenders are now working with Canadians. I haven't found too many who are working with other foreign investors."

Some international buyers are looking for second homes, while others purchase investment property they rent out - at least until they're ready to make their part-time residence here.

British and German buyers have a strong presence in the area, but international interest comes from all over. Tate said she recently worked with clients who hail from Finland, Israel, Greece and North Korea. Both Tate and Starowicz reported a few inquiries from Australia as of late.

On Sanibel, Eric Pfeifer spoke with French investors looking for commercial property, plus plenty of German, British and Canadian residential prospects. He recently closed on an approximately $650,000 three-bedroom, penthouse condo in The Sanctuary on Sanibel with a couple from Switzerland.

Real estate agents say the weak dollar piques international interest, along with U.S. newspaper headlines and reports that point to Southwest Florida as a leader in foreclosure properties.

"That triggers the Internet searching opportunity worldwide," Tate said of news reports. "Every time someone gives that headline, I believe people are finding us."

- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach: 17 percent

- Bradenton-Sarasota-Venice: 13 percent

- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater: 10 percent

- Cape Coral-Fort Myers: 9 percent

- Naples-Marco Island: 5 percent

- All other areas in state: 27 percent

Source: National Association of Realtors and Florida
Realtors

 

Americans say time is right to buy home: poll

Majority believe prices will be the same or higher during the next year

 

updated 10:11 a.m. ET, Tues., April 6, 2010

NEW YORK - Nearly two-thirds of Americans think the time is right to buy a house, with a majority believing prices will be the same or higher over the next year, according to a Fannie Mae survey released Tuesday.

The 64 percent that said it is a good time to buy is just shy of the 66 percent that said the same thing in 2003 as the U.S. housing market was racing higher, said the survey.

However, most of the 3,451 polled said that it would be tougher for them to get a loan than it was for their parents.

The survey comes amid signs that the U.S. housing market is recovering after suffering the worst downturn since the 1930s. But, while home prices in some regions are rising, soaring delinquency rates across the nation mean foreclosures will keep persistent pressure on the market, according to analysts.

Fannie Mae, the largest U.S. mortgage finance company, said that the public still "strongly believes" in upholding their financial commitments, though that weakens once people know someone who is defaulting.

Those who know someone in default are more than twice as likely to have seriously considered stopping payments on their own mortgage, Fannie Mae said.

 

It's a perfect time to buy a house or two in the US

 

Is it time to buy US property? US investment expert Dr Steve Sjuggerud of the True Wealth financial newsletter reckons there are bargains galore. Regular MoneyWeek columnist James Ferguson isn't so sure. Here they make the case for and against investing in US housing.

I've lived in Florida for most of my adult life. I've never seen bargains like I'm seeing right now. Last month, I attended an auction for two properties less than a block away from the beach in St Augustine, Florida. They were empty building lots in a residential neighbourhood, 200 steps from the sand. You could build your dream house here – your second home in Florida exactly the way you want it. What would you have bid – £200,000, £150,000? What's the least you'd be willing to pay?

Both lots sold for less than £25,000 each.

Would you believe I didn't even win the auction? I was only willing to bid about half that. Why? Well, I didn't need these lots. And I expect I will find even better opportunities. They're everywhere. The median price of a home in Florida today is less than £100,000. That's a home – and in Florida, median probably means at least three bedrooms, two bathrooms, a garage, a yard, and more.

It's an extraordinary time to be a buyer of US real estate in general, and Florida real estate in particular. You may never have such a great opportunity to buy here in the rest of your life. Here's why.

For one thing, you're looking at a 'half-off' sale in many desirable places. Home prices have fallen by a third nationwide, peak-to-trough in dollar terms (according to the Case-Shiller home price index). But in some 'bubble' cities, such as Las Vegas and Phoenix, prices are down by more than 50%. Meanwhile, in Florida, property prices in Miami fell 49% peak-to-trough – and many smaller beach towns here fell by even more.

Secondly, financing is very cheap. Mortgage rates are currently the cheapest in history (or certainly since the Federal Reserve's records began in 1964). As a personal example, I have a 2.74% interest rate from Bank of America on a home equity line of credit – Bank of America will lend me up to $500,000 at 2.74% interest. I haven't tapped it yet. But if I bought those St Augustine properties with that money, I believe I could have sold them for significantly more than they went for at that barely advertised, distressed-sale auction. The return on my own money would have been near infinity. My only 'out of pocket' expense would have been the lowly cost of the 2.74% interest for a couple of months.

Thirdly, US housing is more affordable than ever. Affordability is a simple concept. But most people get it wrong – they often quote a ratio of house prices to income. This comparison is near-useless. It's not apples to apples. For example, the interest payments on my parent's 20% mortgage from the early 1980s were an entirely different situation to my 2.74% Bank of America interest rate today.

The actual price of a home isn't people's main concern when they buy a home – it's the monthly payment. So affordability isn't about the house price to income ratio, it's about the payment. "Can I afford that monthly payment?" That's the big question. That question can be answered by knowing three things: the price of the house; the mortgage rate (as these two determine your monthly payment); and your monthly income. All three are in favour of the US homebuyer now.

So we've seen the average house price cut, in many cases, nearly in half. Beyond that, the cost of financing has been cut by a third during this decade alone. Meanwhile, household incomes have held up reasonably well. So it's no surprise that the NAR Housing Affordability Index (which goes back to 1970) shows that housing is more affordable than ever in the US. So US housing is now easily affordable. But why is now the right time to buy? There are four good reasons.

Four reasons why now is the right time to buy

Record low building activity

Housing starts are at their lowest level in recorded history, and a shortage of new homes has historically always led to a rise in prices. It's simple supply and demand – when home builders build too many homes, prices peak soon after. And when they don't build any for a while, prices start to rise again. You can guess when the most recent peak in new homes started – January 2006. Prices peaked within six months. Before then, building activity (housing starts) bottomed out in 1991, 1982, 1975, 1969. And following the rules of Economics 101, prices started rising (often dramatically) soon after. Housing starts are now at their lowest level in recorded history.

Banks are desperate to sell

"Just make any offer," my friend – a US bank chief financial officer (CFO) – told me recently. "Chances are, the bank will take it." Banks are in the business of making loans, not owning property. But they made tons of bad loans, and now they're stuck with thousands of properties. They don't want to be in the property business, they want out of it. With so few buyers, they have to be willing to consider any offer. As my bank CFO friend says, "Chances are, they'll take it." It's easy to find bank-owned properties and government-owned properties. Just type "REO" into Google, and you'll find plenty of banks and their listings. Pick your place and price.

The government wants higher prices

You wouldn't believe the effort the US government is putting into propping up the housing market. Undoubtedly, it will succeed. If housing falls, Americans will feel broke, they'll blame their politicians, and those politicians won't get re-elected. The incentives are comical: government-guaranteed mortgages, tax credits of up to $8,000 for first-time home buyers, tax-free capital gains of up to $500,000; and many more. But it gets much bigger than this – you could argue that the whole government bail-out is about saving homeowner equity.

US property is hated

As an investor, I'm seeing what I love. It's a rare situation, but incredibly important if you can recognise it. It's when people's emotions are clearly at odds with the reality of the numbers. The numbers for housing are great right now. But after three years of losses, people are sour on housing – it's perfect. I prefer to be a contrarian. Three years ago, everyone in the US said: "You can't go wrong in real estate." Now everyone thinks you'll never make money again. I'll take the opposite side of both of those trades.

David Dreman is a legendary contrarian investor. In 1980, he literally wrote the book on the topic. It's called Contrarian Investment Strategy. In it, he recommended going heavily into stocks. Today, Dreman recommends US residential real estate: "If inflation hits hard, the chief culprit of the bear market – real estate – is likely to be one of the best investments in the years ahead. Buy a home if you don't already have one or a second home if you can afford one." Time to buy a house (or two!) in America – preferably in Florida.

Steve's top buying tips

Don't buy north of Orlando if you want to be warm in winter. Most foreigners don't realise that Florida temperatures vary so much from north to south. Palm Beach County and South? Great. You'll need a sweater just a few days in winter, and you can get in the pool nearly every day. But Jacksonville? It's way colder than you think! You won't get a suntan, and you can't use your bathing suit.

Avoid Miami. You want to pull off the highway to fill up your car and worry if you'll make it out of that neighborhood alive? Then move to Miami!

• If you want a cheap home near the ocean, try the southwest coast. Ft. Myers, Naples, anywhere over there – that's where the most real estate speculation and overbuilding went on, so it's where the biggest bust has been. That's where to get a super deal – just find the town you like.

• If you want a great deal, get on a plane. Do all the homework you can from home. But for the real deals, you should spend time here. Figure out which towns you actually like. And talk to realtors about foreclosures and other special deals. Nothing beats doing this in person.

 

 

Home sales surge, boosting recovery hopes

Tax break helps boost housing market, but GDP growth revised downward

updated 12:34 p.m. ET, Tues., Dec . 22, 2009

WASHINGTON - The recovery may have gotten off to a slow start in the third quarter, but a surge in home sales last month could presage a more robust end to the year.

Sales of existing homes rose in November to the highest level in nearly three years, reflecting an extraordinary level of federal support that has pulled the housing market back from its worst downturn since the Great Depression.

The National Association of Realtors said sales rose 7.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.54 million from a downwardly revised pace of 6.09 million in October.

Sales had been expected to rise to a pace of 6.25 million, according to economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters.

"Things are stabilizing," said Pete Flint, chief executive of real estate Web site Trulia.com. "There is a significant amount of buyer interest out there."

A rebound in housing could help give the nascent recovery a boost in the fourth quarter after it got off to a weaker-than-expected start in the third quarter.

President Obama, speaking after a meeting at the White House with chief executives of community banks Tuesday, said business have a great opportunity now to start growing and hiring again if they can get the credit they need.

"We feel very optimistic that the worst is behind us," the president said.

The Commerce Department reported Tuesday that the economy grew at a 2.2 percent pace in the July-to-September quarter, slower than the 2.8 percent rate estimated just a month ago. Economists were predicting the figure wouldn't be revised in the government's final estimate on third-quarter GDP.

The main factors behind the downgrade: Consumers didn't spend as much, commercial construction was weaker, business investment was a bit softer and companies cut back more on inventories, according to Tuesday's report.

Despite the lower reading, the economy managed to finally return to growth during the quarter, after a record four straight quarters of decline. That signaled the deepest and longest recession since the 1930s had ended and the economy had entered into a new fragile phase of recovery.

Many analysts believe the economy is on track for a better result in the current quarter.

"We expect a better performance in the fourth quarter, but the core problems for the economy — bust banks and a massively overleveraged consumer — have not gone away," said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at High Frequency Economics.

The economy is probably growing at a rate of nearly 4 percent in the current quarter, analysts say. If they're right, that would mark the strongest showing since 5.4 percent growth in the first quarter of 2006 — well before the recession began. The government will release its first estimate of fourth-quarter economic activity Jan. 29.

 

Yet even such growth wouldn't be enough to quickly drive down the unemployment rate, now at 10 percent. High unemployment and tight credit for both consumers and businesses are expected to continue to weigh on the economic recovery. Many economists predict the economy's growth will slow to a pace of around 2 or 3 percent in the first three months of 2010.

Growth in the final quarter is expected to be driven by companies restocking depleted inventories. Stocks of goods were slashed at a record pace during the recession. So even the smallest pickup in customer demand will force factories to step up production and boost overall activity.

Stronger exports, as well as spending by U.S. consumers and businesses, also will help underpin fourth-quarter growth.

 

It's been a wild ride for the economy this year. In the first three months, it shrank at a pace of 6.4 percent — its worst downhill slide in 27 years.

The recession eased in the second quarter, with the economy dipping at a pace of 0.7 percent. The economy returned to growth in the third quarter.

But much of the third quarter's growth was supported by government stimulus. The "Cash for Clunkers" rebates and an $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers buoyed sales of cars and homes. The clunkers program ended in August, though the tax credit has been extended and expanded beyond first-time buyers.

 

Government stimulus certainly had a hand in helping November home sales. Buyers were racing to complete their sales before the original expiration date of a tax credit for first-time buyers that was scheduled to end Nov. 30. Last month, Congress decided to extend and expand the credit to ensure the housing market could sustain its recovery.

Besides the existing tax credit of up to $8,000 for first-time buyers, homeowners who have lived in their current properties for at least five years can now claim a tax credit of up to $6,500 if they relocate. To qualify, buyers must sign a purchase agreement by April 30.

Foreclosure rates remain a strong drag on the housing market and the economy, however. Employers continue to cut jobs, which is not good news for the record 14 percent of homeowners with a mortgage that is either behind on payments or in foreclosure.

The government makes three estimates of GDP, which measures the value of all goods and services produced in the United States, for a given quarter. Each estimate is based on more complete data. The government's initial estimate for the third quarter was more energetic, showing the economy's growth at a 3.5 percent pace. Subsequent estimates, however, showed the recovery was actually slower.

A trouble spot for the economy — the commercial real-estate market — was clearly visible in Tuesday's report.

Builders slashed spending on commercial building projects at an annualized pace of 18.4 percent in the third quarter. That was sharper than the 15.1 percent pace previously estimated and contributed to the GDP downgrade.

It's unclear how the recovery will fare once the government withdraws stimulus programs put in place to combat the financial crisis and the recession. If consumers pull back on spending, the economy could tip back into recession.

 

Against that backdrop, the Federal Reserve pledged last week to keep interest rates at a record low to help the recovery gain traction.

Faced with the prospects of high unemployment well into the 2012 presidential election year, President Barack Obama wants the government to take further steps to put Americans back to work. The House last week passed some provisions that Obama has pushed to aid job growth. But it didn't include new tax breaks for small businesses that hire.

The administration credits its $787 billion package of tax cuts and increased government spending with improving employment, though Republicans argue it did not help much.

 

 

 

Lee median home price drops to $89K, sales soar in September

23 october 2009

The median price of a single-family-home resale in September in Lee County was $89,700 in Lee County — 37 percent off $141,400 a year earlier, according to statistics released today by the Florida Association of Realtors.

Meanwhile, the number of homes sold increased 77 percent in the same period from 746 to 1,321.

In Charlotte County, the median price fell 19 percent from $136,900 to $110,600 while the number of homes sold increased 56 percent from 153 to 238.

Statewide, the median price fell 19 percent from $174,900 to $142,000 while the number of homes sold increased 34 percent from 10,778 to 14,419.

In a separate report also issued today, the National Association of Realtors said U.S. home sales rose 9.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.57 million in September, from a downwardly revised pace of 5.1 million in August.

Sales had been expected to rise to an annual pace of 5.35 million, according to economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters.

The median sales price was $174,900, down 8.5 percent from a year earlier, and slightly lower than August’s median of $177,300.

“There’s a mini-boom going on in the housing market,” said Thomas Popik, who conducts a monthly survey of real estate agents for Campbell Communications, a research firm.

The inventory of unsold homes on the market fell about 7 percent to 3.63 million. That’s a 7.8-month supply at the current sales pace, and the lowest level since March 2007. Nationwide sales are up nearly 24 percent from their bottom in January, but are still down 23 percent from four years ago.

 

U.S. Economy: Home Prices Increase by Most Since 2005

Sept. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Home values in 20 U.S. cities climbed in July by the most in almost four years, helping stem the record plunge in household wealth that’s depressed spending.

The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index rose 1.2 percent in July from the prior month, the biggest gain since October 2005, the group said today in New York. Another report showed consumer confidence unexpectedly fell in September, while holding above the record low reached earlier this year.

Home values are rebounding as low borrowing costs and government tax credits lift home sales. Combined with rising stock prices, the gains will begin to restore the $13 trillion plunge in net worth caused by the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, a process that economists such as Brian Bethune say will take years to complete.

Home prices are “a major, major turning point for the economy,” said Bethune, chief financial economist at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts. “We are eating away at the problem of household balance sheets.”

The New York-based Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell to 53.1 in September from 54.5 the prior month, the private research group said today, amid growing concern over the lack of jobs. The gauge sank to 25.3 in February, the lowest level in data going back to 1967.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped after the confidence report, erasing earlier gains. The index was up 0.1 percent to 1,064.01 at 1:18 p.m. in New York. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was little changed at 3.29 percent compared to 3.28 percent late yesterday.

Decline Slows

From a year earlier, the S&P/Case Shiller index was down 13.3 percent, less than economists anticipated and the smallest decrease in 17 months.

The measure was forecast to fall 14.2 percent, according to the median projection of 36 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Estimates ranged from declines of 12.5 percent to 15 percent. It was down 15.4 percent in the 12 months ended in June.

Compared with the prior month, 17 of the 20 cities covered showed an increase, led by a 3.1 percent jump in Minneapolis and a 2.9 percent increase in San Francisco. Las Vegas suffered the biggest one-month decrease at 1.9 percent.

Sales Rising

Combined sales of new and existing homes have risen for four out of the last five months, signaling the worst of the housing crisis is over.

The Obama administration’s $8,000 tax credit for first- time buyers, which is due to expire at the end of November, combined with lower prices as foreclosures soared, have helped lift sales this year. The National Association of Realtors and the National Association of Home Builders have lobbied to extend the credit on concern demand will wane after it lapses.

Karl Case, co-creator of the S&P/Case-Shiller index, said the U.S. residential property market is improving enough to end the tax credit for first-time buyers.

“We’ve got to phase back incentives and this may be a good time to do that,” Case said in an interview on Bloomberg Radio. “I believe in some cities you’ll see the beginning of recovery.”

Pending Profit

Lennar Corp., the third-largest U.S. homebuilder, is among companies that see demand improving, even as losses mount. The Miami-based company said last week it expects to turn a profit in fiscal 2010.

“In the third quarter we started to see some real signs that the housing market is in fact starting to stabilize,” Stuart Miller, Lennar’s chief executive officer, said on a Sept. 21 conference call. “The sense that now is the time to buy is starting to gain momentum.”

The Conference Board’s confidence gauge was projected to increase to 57, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

The decline was caused by growing pessimism over jobs. The share of consumers who said jobs are plentiful fell to 3.4 percent this month from 4.3 percent. The proportion of people who said jobs are hard to get increased to 47 percent from 44.3 percent.

“It’s a little hard for households to look at their paychecks, or the lack thereof, and feel more confident,” Ellen Zentner, a senior economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. Even so, “we should continue to see consumer confidence turn around,” because the recession is over and hiring eventually will rebound, she said.

Fewer Job Losses

The pace of job losses is easing as the economy shows signs of accelerating. Payrolls fell by 216,000 in August, the smallest decline in a year, according to the Labor Department. Employers probably cut another 180,000 workers this month, economists project a Labor Department report later this week will show.

Economists say the Conference Board’s index tends to be more influenced by attitudes about the labor market.

Confidence may improve in future months as balance sheets rebound. Net worth for households and non-profit groups climbed by $2 trillion in the second quarter, marking the first gain since the third quarter of 2007, according to figures from the Federal Reserve.

Fed policy makers last week said they would keep the benchmark lending rate near zero “for an extended period,” and noted that sluggish income growth and tight credit are curbing household spending and slowing the pace of the economic recovery.

 

 

Home prices post first quarterly rise in 3 years

New data suggest housing market may have turned a corner

The Associated Press

updated 9:45 a.m. ET, Tues., Aug 25, 2009

NEW YORK - A closely watched index shows home prices posted their first quarterly increase in three years, signaling the housing market has turned a corner.

The Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller's U.S. National Home Price Index released Tuesday rose nearly 3 percent from the first quarter, though was still down almost 15 percent from the second quarter last year.

Home prices are at levels not seen since early 2003. Prices have fallen 30 percent from the peak in the second quarter of 2006.

The monthly index of 20 major cities increased 1.4 percent from May to June to 142, the second straight month the index registered a gain. All but two cities, Las Vegas and Detroit, saw home prices rise, and Dallas and Denver clocked their fourth-straight monthly increase.

Prices, however, have a long way to go to recover completely. Every metro showed annual declines, with fifteen reporting double-digit drops.

The Case-Shiller index is a composite of home price indexes for the nine U.S. census divisions. The 20-city index measures home price increases and decreases relative to prices in January 2000. The base reading is 100; so a reading of 150 would mean that home prices increased 50 percent since the beginning of the index.

 

 

FAR Study: 2009 Fla. international homebuyers

ORLANDO, Fla. – Aug. 31, 2009 – International home buyers make up a significant part of the Florida real estate market, and are an important part of many Florida Realtors®’ businesses. According to a study conducted for the Florida Association of Realtors® (FAR) by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), a majority (54 percent) of Florida Realtors worked with an international client within the past 12 months.

The typical Florida Realtor participating in the survey worked with three international clients; 10 percent of respondents worked with 11 or more international clients in the past year.

Not all client interactions result in a transaction. In the past 12 months, 34 percent of Realtors who worked with international clients reported that none of their international clients purchased a home. However, this does not mean that those international clients will not ultimately buy in Florida.

Other study highlights:

• 86 percent bought an existing home, while 14 percent opted for a new home.

• 52 percent chose a single-family detached home. Of the rest, 34 percent chose a condo, 76 percent a townhome, and 7 percent “other.”

• One in four buyers (27 percent) bought a home in South Florida, while Bradenton-Sarasota-Venice and Orlando attracted 11 percent each. However, one-third (32 percent) of foreign buyers purchased a home outside Florida’s top six metropolitan areas.

• One-third of buyers (35 percent) who eventually decided to walk way did so, at least in part, because of property tax costs; while 31 percent cited immigration laws that prevent year-round residence. While Floridians balk at the cost of property insurance, however, only 20 percent of immigrants listed that as a reason to walk away.

 

Homebuilders Buying Land After Three Years of Cutting Inventory

 

Signature Properties has been trying since 2005 to sell 4,000 finished lots in its Fiddyment Farm community, a former pasture and pistachio orchard northeast of Sacramento, California.

The developer sold 41 sites in April to Meritage Homes Inc. for $66,000 each, and another 41 in June to Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. for $68,000 apiece. This month, they got their best offer yet -- $103,500 each for 77 sites.

Signature Properties said no.

“We decided to build it out ourselves,” said John Bayless, president of the Sacramento division of Signature Properties, a closely held developer in Pleasanton, California. “Our feeling is, ‘The tide’s turning. Let’s build ‘em.’”

Homebuilders that spent the past three years selling off land and writing down the value of property holdings are scouring markets in Sacramento, Phoenix, Denver and Orlando -- cities synonymous with the real estate bubble -- looking for deals on ready-to-build lots as they prepare for a rebound.

Writedowns and write-offs by 14 of the largest publicly traded homebuilders totaled $28.5 billion since the start of 2006, according to a July 15 report by Fitch Ratings.

Home prices in 20 U.S. cities fell in June at a slower pace than forecast. The S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index declined 15.4 percent from a year earlier, the smallest drop since April 2008, the group said yesterday. The gauge rose from the prior month by the most in four years.

Like a Shark

New home sales climbed 11 percent in June, the biggest gain in eight years, and housing starts were the highest since November. Single-family home starts increased again in July, for the fifth straight month, the U.S. Commerce Department reported on Aug. 18. July new home sale data will be released today.

“Like a shark has to keep swimming or it’ll die, it’s the same thing with builders,” said Kathryn Boyce, regional director in Sacramento for Hanley Wood Market Intelligence, a real estate research company based in Costa Mesa, California. “They have to keep building or they’ll die.”

The National Association of Home Builders reported Aug. 17 that a builder confidence index rose to 18, its highest level since June 2008. A reading of less than 50 means most builders believe conditions are poor.

“It’s a good time to acquire properties, because you can often find distressed properties at low prices,” said Bernie Markstein, senior economist for the Washington-based homebuilder’s association. “There’s that old Wall Street saying: Don’t try to catch a falling knife. Maybe the knife is on the ground.”

Loaded with Cash

Homebuilders have increased cash by shedding non-performing assets. Shares in all 12 companies in the Standard & Poor’s Supercomposite Homebuilding Index are trading higher than they were at the beginning of the year.

“A lot of national builders have access to large funding,” Markstein said. “They have access to more sources of capital than smaller builders tied to local lenders.”

Meritage, based in Scottsdale, Arizona, has gone on a shopping spree in metro areas that were early victims of the housing slump, buying ready-to-build lots sold for one-third of the peak prices.

“The markets that were the hardest hit and had the largest fall from peak to trough are the best opportunity,” said Larry Seay, chief financial officer of Meritage, which builds in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Nevada and Texas.

Who’s Buying

In addition to Meritage, other “land light” builders shopping in different cities are M.D.C. Holdings Inc. of Denver; KB Home of Los Angeles; NVR Inc. of Reston, Virginia; Ryland Group Inc. of Calabasas, California; and Hovnanian of Red Bank, New Jersey, Seay said.

M.D.C. and KB Home declined to comment for this story. NVR, Ryland and Hovnanian did not respond to requests for comment.

M.D.C. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Larry A. Mizel said during a July 31 conference call that his company’s land balances had dropped to their lowest level in more than a decade. He said the company has plenty of buying power, citing $1.6 billion in cash, no outstanding borrowing on its line of credit and no senior debt maturity until 2012.

“While our low exposure to land is a positive in this unstable economic environment, we are looking forward to redeploying our capital into new investments,” Mizel said.

More Deals

Hovnanian paid $25,000 per lot for 160 bank-owned finished lots in Florida, about 11 percent of the $220,000 original cost for land and improvements, Ara K. Hovnanian, the company’s president and CEO, said during a June 3 earnings call.

“We are seeing more land deals like this making their way to the surface around the country and will provide a once in a generation opportunity for us to reload and reinvest in land,” Hovnanian said, according to a transcript of the call.

Ryland spent $31 million to purchase new land in its second quarter, said Larry Nicholson, president and CEO.

“Since the quarter closed, however, we have been more active on the land acquisition front,” Nicholson said in a July 30 earnings call.

KB Home plans to spend up to $350 million on land purchases and development in 2009, about $200 million less than 2008. During the quarter ending May 30, the company optioned five finished lot deals “with minimal deposits touching every region we operate in representing more than 600 lots,” Jeffrey T. Mezger, KB Home’s president and CEO said during a June 26 conference call.

Not in Vegas

Not all areas of the country have equal appeal to builders. Meritage is steering clear of cities where markets are far from recovery, such as Las Vegas or Miami. It also is avoiding areas where prices have not fallen far from their peaks, such as Texas.

“The lots we’re buying are 50 to 75 percent off peak values,” Seay said. “In Phoenix, the lots we bought at $20,000 sold for $60,000 at the peak.”

Meritage would not disclose how many total lots it bought or what it paid, “but it would be safe to say we have closed on ‘several’ deals in 2009,” Seay said.

Even in a single metro area, not all communities rebound at the same time. In the Sacramento area, Bayless of Signature Properties said, Roseville is the first and only city so far to see signs of a recovery.

“The others will take time,” he said.

Non-performing Land

Lot sellers are troubled builders, banks and other companies that need to get nonperforming assets off their books.

In the Orlando area, land owners are unloading properties at one-third the peak prices, offering them in increments as small as four lots, waiting to get paid until after the homes on the lot are sold, said James B. Lewis, president of Charles Wayne Consulting Inc. in Maitland, Florida.

“They’ll take almost any deal they can get,” Lewis said.

At Fiddyment Farm, named after the family that owned the property since Gold Rush days, Signature Properties spent about $75,000 per lot for improvements such as roads, sewers and grading, Bayless said. And that didn’t include the cost of the land. To break even, he said, the lots should sell for at least $100,000.

The first sales in April were money losers, deemed necessary to raise cash. Those sales broke a logjam, he said.

“We knew we had to make that first sale to move the market,” Bayless said. “Once Meritage closed, the offers started to flow in.”

Scaling Down

Meritage’s homes are already rising on the 41 lots at Fiddyment Farm.

The builder scaled down the square footage and switched to less expensive finishings. Instead of granite countertops, the homes come with Formica or tile. Instead of hardwood floors, they come with carpet.

“One of the keys to building is to compete with the foreclosure market,” Seay said. “We can be a little more expensive. We have to be close enough to represent a good value.”

Signature Properties plans to build $450,000 homes on the 77 lots it’s keeping. Ground-breaking is planned for early 2010. Bayless, who has worked in the real estate business for 23 years, said this is the third slump he has weathered and it’s “by far the deepest trough.” Experience taught him a lesson he hopes works today.

“If you take an opportunity when the market starts to make a turn,” he said, “it tends to pay off.”

 

Vacationers checking out local real estate

updated 7:12 a.m. ET, Sat., Dec. 27, 2008

FORT MYERS BEACH: There may be signs that the local real estate market is heading in the right direction. A big chunk of vacationers on Fort Myers Beach were walking into local real estate offices.

We saw parking lots packed on Friday as curious people checked out the deals for renting and for buying along Estero Island.

Real estate officials say Christmas is traditionally one of the quietest times for local realtors, but say the huge number of walk-in prospects is an encouraging sign heading into the New Year.

"They're just coming in off the street, wanting to find something to rent," said Ann Alsop of Century 21. "Years ago, it used to be you never went to Fort Myers Beach without a reservation. Now it's different."

She added that the increase in walk-up renters is rather unprecedented.

Even more encouraging, she said, is the increase in walk-up home buyers.

 

 

Realtors pursue international investors

BRADENTON, Fla. – Oct. 9, 2008 – Florida is becoming a hot spot in the global real estate market.

Declining property prices coupled with a desirable climate is making the state an attractive investment and bargain for foreign buyers.

And local real estate professionals are taking advantage of that appeal and doing more to establish international relationships.

“The past couple of years with the declining dollar, Florida has become a magnet to international investors,” said Ivo Travnicek, of Florida Venture Partners LLC, a Sarasota firm that serves as a managing partner for foreign investors.

While property transactions in Florida have declined over the past three years, the number of international buyers in the state has grown, according to a joint survey by the National Association of Realtors and Florida Association of Realtors.

Florida Venture Partners are among several local companies to extensively network overseas in an attempt to profit from the increasing number of international buyers.

On Friday, the group leaves for Europe to begin a week-long trip aimed to attract buyers from Prague and Slovakia.

Sarasota lawyer Alan Tannenbaum, who formed the group with Travnicek and Realtor Ian Black, said this will be the group’s fourth trip in a year to Central and Eastern Europe in which they’ve showcased a portfolio of property ranging between $22 million to $100 million to the area’s top investors.

“The trips have built on each other,” Tannenbaum said. “I think you’re going to see over the next six months a real substantial amount of transactions that are going to occur.”

The number of international buyers of Florida property from 2005 to 2008 has doubled.

According to about 5,000 Florida Realtors who participated in a survey by the National Association of Realtors, international purchases made up 30 percent of Florida property sales reported between August 2007 and August 2008.

In 2008, the Sarasota-Bradenton-Venice area ranked third on the top destinations for international property purchases as reported by Realtors in the survey.

Luxury real estate companies that are well established internationally, too, are taking an aggressive approach to establishing global relationships.

Today, Michael Saunders, president of Michael Saunders & Co., is speaking in London to the National Association of Estate Agents about the importance of networking.

Tom Heatherman, corporate communications director for Michael Saunders, said Saunders’ speech will be the key note address at a meeting. She will discuss the value of effective international networking.

Saunders’ trip to London follows networking conferences she attended in Rome and Madrid, and precedes a global conference she will attend in Bermuda later this year.

“Michael more than anyone else is a proponent of networking at all times,” Heatherman said. “It’s the networking you do in the bad times that set you up for the good times.”

Terry Hayes, an agent with SKY Sotheby’s International Realty, said Anna Maria Island has a strong reputation for attracting European buyers.

Hayes said SKY Sotheby’s had the opportunity to further showcase Anna Maria property to international investors at conference held in Boca Raton in May.

“We were able to go over there and really feature our properties on the West Coast with a lot of international agents visiting,” Hayes said of the conference that was attended by 1,500 agents representing 23 countries.

“I certainly haven’t stopped advertising in the international market,” Hayes said. “The international market has always been attracted to this part of the market. They still think it’s a beautiful place to own a home.”
 

Study: Foreign homebuyers favor Florida in greater numbers

ORLANDO, Fla. – Sept. 23, 2008 – While a number of factors have contributed to a home sales decline in Florida, an increase in foreign homebuyers has modified the trend, according to a just-released research paper from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the 2008 “Profile of International Home Buying in Florida.”

Foreign buyers recognize U.S. real estate as a desirable, profitable and secure investment. In addition, the weak dollar has made U.S. real estate an even more attractive investment.

NAR, in cooperation with the Florida Association of Realtors, conducted a survey of Florida Realtors, asking them about their experience working with international clients. This survey was conducted in August 2008, with a total of 4,859 responses received from Realtors who had completed more than 4,000 transactions involving a foreign buyer during the previous year.

More than half (53 percent) of the Realtors reported that they worked with an international client in the past 12 months. The typical Realtor in this group worked with three international clients, and about one in five (17 percent) worked with six or more international clients in the past year. More than one-quarter (28 percent) had one international client who purchased a property, and 15 percent reported two transactions within the past 12 months. Nearly one in five Florida Realtors who worked with international clients completed at least three home sales transactions.

Significance of the international market

One in 10 Realtors (12 percent) reported that an international client base made up 50 percent or more of their business. Half indicated that international clients accounted for 25 percent or less of their business.

The survey also asked FAR members if they’ve seen any change in their number of foreign clients. One-third of respondents noted an increasing share in the past two years, while just over half (52 percent) said that their share of international clients remained stable, neither increasing or decreasing.

Where they’re from

Although homebuyers come from all over the world, buyers from a few regions and countries had a higher demand for Florida property. FAR members reported that Canada buyers account for 27 percent of recent sales among foreign buyers. Buyers from the United Kingdom accounted for 21 percent; and the rest of Western Europe accounted for an additional 25 percent.

Latin America – defined for the report to include Mexico, the Caribbean nations, Central America and South America – accounted for 17 percent of recent sales to international clients. In addition to Canada and the United Kingdom, countries with a small but significant share of sales included Germany (7 percent), Venezuela (5 percent) and France (4 percent).

Where they bought

The Miami-Fort Lauderdale area was the most frequently reported location of a home purchased by a foreign buyer in Florida. One in five (21 percent) bought a home in the area, followed by one in 10 (11 percent) who purchased a home in the Orlando area. Sarasota, Tampa, Fort Myers and Naples rounded out the top six, accounting for at least 5 percent of purchases by foreign buyers.

The remaining 39 percent of purchases were in other areas of Florida.
 

Fla. still No. 1 with foreign home buyers

By MARTHA BRANNIGAN                                                                                                                                              8 augustus 2008

Florida remains by far the most popular location for foreign buyers of real estate, accounting for 25.4 percent of all international purchases in the United States.

However, the number of foreign buyers nationwide declined over the past year, reflecting the deep U.S. housing slump, a new study released Thursday by the National Association of Realtors said.

The study, which covered the year ending in May, said 26 percent of Realtors surveyed had at least one foreign client, down from nearly one-third of the brokers queried in 2007.

The profile of international home buying activity said that ``foreign buyers -- like U.S. buyers -- may be waiting for home prices to continue to decline in order to purchase a property at a lower price.''

Canadians, aided by a strong Canadian dollar, were the No. 1 group of international buyers, accounting for nearly a quarter of all foreign buyers in the year ended May 2008. That was nearly twice the share the Canadians represented a year earlier.

Florida was the choice for 33 percent of all Canadian purchases in the United States.

Mexicans, who were the No. 1 group of international buyers last year, dropped to third place, behind the British and Canadians. Forty-two percent of all British buyers chose Florida.

Rounding out the top six were: China, India, and Germany. Buyers from China favored California, which captured 25 percent of their U.S. purchases, but Florida was No. 2 with 11 percent. Fifty-four percent of German buyers picked the Sunshine State.

After Florida, other top states for foreign buyers are California, Arizona and Texas.

Despite the current downturn, 35.5 percent of Florida Realtors surveyed said their international business has grown in the past five years, the report said. Some 52.6 percent in Florida reported their foreign business remained about the same, and only 11.8 percent indicated foreign business had decreased.

Thirty-eight percent of the Realtors thought the weak dollar was having a significant impact on foreign buyers looking in the United States, the study said.

But there were also some factors putting the brakes on U.S. purchases. 'While U.S. real estate is still considered a `safe haven' for foreign funds, there are some perceived impediments to foreign purchases including cost of property, immigration laws, and property taxes,'' the report said.

Germans cashing in on SWFL foreclosures

12 juli 2008

CAPE CORAL: There is a new twist to the foreclosure market in Southwest Florida. Germans are taking advantage of the exchange rate, scooping up properties for an even better deal.

Realtor Marc Joseph estimates a home selling for $90,000 in Cape Coral can be bought with European money for only €57,000.

The issue is catching the attention of a national TV news crew from Germany. Three people from Spiegel TV traveled more than 5,000 miles to come to Cape Coral to report on the foreclosure market here.

"It's quite overwhelming I must say, even as a reporter, to see what's going on," said German TV reporter Julia Kriwitz. "Everything is on sale, everybody is hustling, wheeling and dealing."

The German crew followed more than a dozen interested buyers on a foreclosure bus tour through the Cape.

Cathrin Matzen is one of them. A native German, she says she was first attracted to Cape Coral because of the large German population.

"You get your heritage neighborhoods, we still have German friends here, get the Germany bakery, everything is German. It feels like home," says Matzen.

Now she's looking to invest in the real estate market.

Although she was a little distracted by the German news cameras. She hopes her family back home will catch a glimpse of her on TV.

The news crew is putting together a 45 minute documentary that will air on national TV in Germany in early September.

 

24 mei 2008:

Homes in Lee County sell cheap, but fast
 

Sales increase 41 percent over April 2007
 

Existing homes sales in Lee County in April rose sharply from a year earlier as prices plunged and builders offered deep discounts.

Meanwhile, sales and prices dropped nationally as the backlog of unsold single-family home was at a 23-year high, according to statistics released Friday.

In Lee County, 809 single-family homes were sold with the assistance of a Realtor compared to 573 in April 2007, an increase of 41 percent, according to the Florida Association of Realtors.

Meanwhile, the median price fell 29 percent from $283,200 to $200,300 in the same period.

Charlotte County sales showed a similar trend: The price was down 27 percent from $197,100 to $143,400 while the number of sales rose 6 percent from 254 to 268.

Collier County statistics weren't available.

Southwest Florida bucked a statewide trend of falling sales: Florida had 11,200 sales, down 9 percent from 12,358 a year earlier. The statewide median price fell 17 percent from $239,000 to $198,900.

One recent buyer said he's glad to be buying after a long decline in the market. The median price of a single-family home is now 37 percent off the all-time high of $322,300 reached in December 2005.

"We found it cheaper to buy than rent," said Bernie Connor, 71, a retiree from Maine who's under contract to buy a four-bedroom, two-bath house in northwest Cape Coral for about $110,000.

"I found it more reasonable to buy, naturally, because of the equity," he said. "The low home market's probably going to last for another year or so but then it's going back up - there's no question about that."

His real estate agent, Brett Ellis of Remax Realty Group in Fort Myers, said the market is continuing to absorb the foreclosed houses being taken back by banks - Connor's new house, built in 2006, is one of those homes.

"Prices are attractive and buyers are off the fence," Ellis said. "There are definitely enough end users."

Fifty-seven of the houses sold in April were in one community - Coral Lakes in Cape Coral, where Fort Myers-based businessman O.J. Buigas in March purchased 116 completed but never-lived-in houses and townhouses for $13.5 million from Engle Homes. Engle's parent company, Tousa Inc., is seeking to reorganize under federal bankruptcy protection.

Buigas immediately reduced the prices at Coral Lakes by about 40 percent and they've all been sold, said Denny Grimes of Denny Grimes & Co., who marketed the homes for Buigas.

"You will see the numbers go up" for sales, he said. "I think the worst is over," although prices may continue to fall for a while.

In a similar move, businessmen Greg Jarrett and Larry Smith are buying 72 houses from financially strapped Comfort Home Builders in Cape Coral. The plan is to offer them for half the original price, or less, and sell them in a month.

Two weeks after the homes went on the market, about half are under contract, said Steve Koffman of Century 21 Sunbelt Realty. He's selling 62 of the houses and Kim Hardin, also of Century 21 Sunbelt, is selling 10.

Buyers include people intending to live in the houses and investors, Koffman said. "The shrewd investors are buying when other people are selling."

Nationally, the housing market was still in the doldrums.

Figures released by the National Association of Realtors showed sales of existing homes fell for the eighth time in the past nine months, with the backlog of unsold single-family homes rising to the highest level in more than two decades.

Sales dropped by 1 percent to 4.89 million units, matching the all-time low set in January. These records go back to 1999.

The median price for an existing home dropped 8 percent, compared with a year ago, to $202,300. Analysts predicted further price declines given the huge backlog of unsold single-family homes, which rose in April to 10.7 months supply at the current sales pace, the highest inventory level since June 1985.

 

Condos in South Florida good news for bargain hunters

MIAMI – May 19, 2008 –The glut of condominiums for sale in South Florida is attracting a legion of bargain hunters.

Out-of-state and international buyers are descending on the area in search of deep discounts as prices continue to crater. They want to get in now and wait out the housing slump because they think the region remains a powerful long-term draw.

With the lingering real estate downturn, now in its third year, some condos are selling at 25 to 60 percent less than during the boom times, when investors hoping to “flip” units bid up prices.

At the end of April, almost 41,000 condos were listed for sale in Palm Beach and Broward counties, according to data from Coldwell Banker Residential Real Estate. Based on the current monthly sales pace, it would take roughly five years to sell all those condos if no new units came onto the market. Experts point to a huge number of still-unfinished condos that will keep a lid on prices for at least a year.

Flush with cash, buyers from Italy, Germany, England, Spain and other countries are scooping up condos here for at least 30 percent less than the cost of properties in their homelands.

Susan Gomez of Colombia visited South Florida last week and had real estate agent Chuck Frank show her condos in Fort Lauderdale and Miami. The owner of a language translation business said she hopes to buy in a month or so.

“The gossip in South America is that properties in the U.S. are selling for low prices and the market is good here,” said Gomez, 50. “They’re saying that people who want to buy should buy now.”

Amit Bagaria, a real estate executive from Bangalore, India, spent two days this month scouting for deals on behalf of wealthy Asian families. He’s eyeing new buildings in Fort Lauderdale and Miami with condos priced from $400,000 to $1.5 million.

“We hear that if you’re interested in four or five units, builders are willing to negotiate,” Bagaria said. “Good deals are not difficult to find in the market right now.”

The rock-bottom prices also are luring buyers from within the United States, particularly the Northeast.

Austin Regolino, a semi-retired real estate executive from the Boston area, took advantage of plummeting prices when he bought recently at the Sea Ranch Club in Boca Raton.

The two-bedroom condo, once priced at $875,000, was down to $749,900 by the time Regolino and real estate agent Dolly Trotto looked at it. Regolino finally paid $660,000, thrilled to have a second home in an area so close to where many of his longtime friends live.

“I looked at 19 different units in a one-week period,” he said. “I couldn’t be happier. This is as close to paradise as you can get.”

Despite the resurgence of buyer interest in condos, it’s not likely to stabilize the stagnant market in the next year because of the large number still under construction, housing analysts say. At the end of the first quarter, there were more than 30,000 unfinished condos in South Florida, 80 percent of them in Miami-Dade County, according to research firm Metrostudy in West Palm Beach.

“There’s so much inventory reaching completion that it’s going to put downward pressure on prices the rest of this year and into next,” said Brad Hunter, South Florida director of Metrostudy.

During the housing boom of 2000 to 2005, speculators bought condos at pre-construction prices and watched the units rise in value before having to close on the deals.

They then flipped them to other buyers, which artificially inflated demand and sent prices soaring. But not enough long-term owners bought condos, leaving investors on the hook with empty units.

Some of the investors have tried to use loopholes in the sales contracts to get out of closing on the deals, while others are falling into foreclosure. And owners living in the condos are tiring of expensive maintenance costs and special assessments.

“I used to show buyers six condos; now I show them 20,” said Elaine Russell, a broker associate with Lang Realty in Boca Raton. “They want the very best deal. If sellers are not motivated, I tell them, ‘Don’t even bother to list it.’“

At The Prado in West Palm Beach, a unit once priced at $484,000 is now on the market for $349,000. Two years ago, a two-bedroom condo at One City Plaza in West Palm Beach would have fetched $400,000 or more. Today, prices are in the $280,000 range.

“That’s just the list price,” said Kendra Radicchi, a West Palm Beach agent with Condo Vultures, a Bal Harbour-based real estate consultant. “What they sell for is typically much lower.”

In Fort Lauderdale, condos at Las Olas Beach Club that were selling for more than $1 million now are going for $750,000 to $800,000.

A townhouse on Northeast Second Avenue that was on the market in 2006 for $599,000 is listed for $214,500, a 64 percent discount. And a condo on North Ocean Boulevard that two years ago was listed at $899,000 is available for $479,900, a 47 percent cut.

“Some sellers are desperate to get out,” Fort Lauderdale real estate agent Jim DeMaria said. “[Buyers] are saying, ‘This is my chance, my opportunity.’“

The March median price of existing condos in Palm Beach County was $148,600, off 30 percent from $211,800 last year, according to the Florida Association of Realtors’ latest figures. Broward’s March median also plummeted 30 percent, to $137,000 from $195,500 a year ago.

Condo sales fell compared with last March, but not by much. Sales dipped 8 percent in Broward and 9 percent in Palm Beach County, well below the statewide decline of 23 percent.

Those figures suggest that activity in South Florida is picking up as prices keep dropping, and it could get even busier, analysts say.

“We really haven’t seen the wheeling and dealing that we will see as we go further along in the year,” said Lewis Goodkin, a Miami-based housing consultant. “I can’t see how we’re not going to have further price deterioration.”

Condo prices overall are expected to keep declining because of the oversupply and the unfinished projects, although certain luxury condos are holding their values, real estate agents say.

Units in urban settings with no water views are seeing the biggest price declines, Goodkin said.

Some offers are “almost embarrassingly low,” said Pompano Beach agent Randy Bates, president of the Realtor Association of Greater Fort Lauderdale. Insulted, owners reject the bids, only to field subsequent offers just as low, Bates said.

One of his clients listed a three-bedroom Lauderdale-by-the-Sea condo for $1.4 million. The owner turned down several offers for two years before finally selling it for $1.05 million. Another of Bates’ clients listed a Lauderdale-by-the-Sea condo for $799,000 two years ago, only to sell it recently for $550,000.

“A lot of these units selling at bargain prices have been on the market for a year or two, and their owners are just now realizing that the market is not going to turn around,” Bates said. “They figure they’re better off taking the deal on the table, even though it’s not the best deal.”

 
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stuur een email naar Andre Arensman met vragen of opmerkingen over deze web pagina's. Alle informatie op mijn web pagina's zijn gecontroleerd maar niet gegarandeerd. Copyright © 2006 Andre Arensman
Laatste modificatie: 03/25/12